2011 Uncle Popov NFL Power Rankings (Week 9)

After looking at it, I was able to get it to where I like it.  Remember, it is a power ranking based on three-plus seasons…so Detroit is still hampered by that 0-16 season, but they are moving up.  I will still keep the 2011 rankings (for now), but I still need to figure out why San Francisco keeps ranking so high (number two).

WEEK 9!!!

POWER RANKING

Rank

Team

Points

Last Week

CHANGE

1

Green Bay Packers

14.329

4

3

2

Pittsburgh Steelers

13.402

1

-1

3

Baltimore Ravens

13.153

3

4

New England Patriots

13.005

2

-2

5

New Orleans Saints

12.592

6

1

6

Atlanta Falcons

12.590

5

-1

7

New York Giants

12.375

7

8

Chicago Bears

11.094

11

3

9

New York Jets

10.967

8

-1

10

Philadelphia Eagles

10.814

9

-1

11

San Francisco 49ers

10.645

17

6

12

Dallas Cowboys

10.144

14

2

13

San Diego Chargers

9.921

10

-3

14

Houston Texans

9.819

15

1

15

Cincinnati Bengals

9.637

19

4

16

Tennessee Titans

9.606

12

-4

17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

9.111

18

1

18

Minnesota Vikings

8.987

16

-2

19

Buffalo Bills

8.450

20

1

20

Detroit Lions

8.225

29

9

21

Carolina Panthers

7.818

22

1

22

Indianapolis Colts

7.401

13

-9

23

Washington Redskins

7.188

24

1

24

Oakland Raiders

7.034

21

-3

25

Denver Broncos

6.607

27

2

26

Arizona Cardinals

6.467

25

-1

27

Miami Dolphins

6.463

23

-4

28

Kansas City Chiefs

6.454

26

-2

29

Cleveland Browns

5.906

30

1

30

Jacksonville Jaguars

5.869

28

-2

31

Seattle Seahawks

5.347

31

32

St. Louis Rams

3.562

32

2011 RANKING

Rank

TEAM

Points

Last Week

CHANGE

1

Green Bay Packers

14.427

1

2

San Francisco 49ers

13.420

2

3

Detroit Lions

12.087

3

4

Cincinnati Bengals

11.562

7

3

5

New York Giants

11.049

9

4

6

Baltimore Ravens

10.950

8

2

7

Buffalo Bills

10.909

4

-3

8

Pittsburgh Steelers

10.614

5

-3

9

New England Patriots

10.452

6

-3

10

Chicago Bears

10.403

13

3

11

New Orleans Saints

10.220

10

-1

12

Houston Texans

10.189

11

-1

13

New York Jets

10.077

17

4

14

Atlanta Falcons

9.983

16

2

15

Dallas Cowboys

9.127

20

5

16

San Diego Chargers

8.926

18

2

17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

8.859

12

-5

18

Oakland Raiders

8.724

15

-3

19

Kansas City Chiefs

8.564

14

-5

20

Tennessee Titans

8.479

19

-1

21

Philadelphia Eagles

7.634

21

22

Denver Broncos

7.547

26

4

23

Cleveland Browns

7.508

22

-1

24

Washington Redskins

7.210

23

-1

25

Seattle Seahawks

6.628

25

26

Jacksonville Jaguars

6.619

27

1

27

Minnesota Vikings

6.497

28

1

28

Carolina Panthers

6.001

29

1

29

Arizona Cardinals

5.746

30

1

30

Miami Dolphins

4.708

32

2

31

St. Louis Rams

4.560

24

-7

32

Indianapolis Colts

3.611

31

-1

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2011 Uncle Popov NFL Power Rankings (Week 8)

Not much in the way of altering the formula needed as the delay in releasing it got it to where I wanted it.  We do have a new number one in the polls — Pittsburgh.  Again, I will include both rankings (formula-based and ranking-composite) until I decide which one best reflects reality.

FORMULATED RANKING

Rank

TEAM

Points

Last Week

CHANGE

1

Pittsburgh Steelers

14.786

2

1

2

New England Patriots

14.369

1

-1

3

Baltimore Ravens

14.129

3

4

Green Bay Packers

13.842

4

5

Atlanta Falcons

13.401

6

1

6

New Orleans Saints

13.088

5

-1

7

New York Giants

12.586

8

1

8

New York Jets

12.186

9

1

9

Philadelphia Eagles

12.169

10

1

10

San Diego Chargers

11.970

7

-3

11

Chicago Bears

11.780

11

12

Tennessee Titans

11.273

14

2

13

Indianapolis Colts

11.089

12

-1

14

Dallas Cowboys

10.751

13

-1

15

Houston Texans

10.592

16

1

16

Minnesota Vikings

10.573

18

2

17

San Francisco 49ers

10.487

17

18

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

10.352

15

-3

19

Cincinnati Bengals

9.999

19

20

Buffalo Bills

9.402

21

1

21

Oakland Raiders

8.940

22

1

22

Carolina Panthers

8.889

20

-2

23

Miami Dolphins

8.611

23

24

Washington Redskins

8.444

24

25

Arizona Cardinals

8.407

26

1

26

Kansas City Chiefs

8.367

28

2

27

Denver Broncos

8.214

25

-2

28

Jacksonville Jaguars

8.132

27

-1

29

Detroit Lions

7.578

30

1

30

Cleveland Browns

7.568

29

-1

31

Seattle Seahawks

7.061

31

32

St. Louis Rams

5.069

32

COMPOSITE RANKING

Rank

TEAM

Points

Last Week

CHANGE

1

Pittsburgh Steelers

30.092

3

2

2

New England Patriots

29.317

1

-1

3

Green Bay Packers

28.893

4

1

4

New Orleans Saints

28.275

2

-2

5

Baltimore Ravens

28.156

6

1

6

Atlanta Falcons

28.075

5

-1

7

New York Giants

26.810

7

8

Philadelphia Eagles

26.020

8

9

Chicago Bears

21.631

9

10

New York Jets

20.561

11

1

11

Dallas Cowboys

20.105

10

-1

12

Minnesota Vikings

19.686

14

2

13

San Diego Chargers

19.092

12

-1

14

Tennessee Titans

18.790

16

2

15

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

17.500

13

-2

16

Houston Texans

17.000

17

1

17

Carolina Panthers

16.800

15

-2

18

Indianapolis Colts

15.820

18

19

San Francisco 49ers

15.750

19

20

Cincinnati Bengals

13.797

21

1

21

Washington Redskins

12.750

20

-1

22

Buffalo Bills

11.000

23

1

23

Miami Dolphins

10.772

22

-1

24

Detroit Lions

9.750

24

25

Arizona Cardinals

9.271

25

26

Oakland Raiders

7.500

27

1

27

Denver Broncos

7.250

26

-1

28

Kansas City Chiefs

6.017

30

2

29

Jacksonville Jaguars

6.000

28

-1

30

Cleveland Browns

5.750

29

-1

31

Seattle Seahawks

4.954

31

32

St. Louis Rams

2.250

32

2011 Uncle Popov NFL Power Rankings

Fun with numbers has now led me to do a power ranking for the NFL.  Yes, it is now entering Week 8, but it took a minute to get the numbers to flow accurately.

Just like the College Football Rankings, the NFL rankings is based on three-plus seasons worth of data.  Unlike the CFB rankings, there are a bit more weights involved, including divisional and conference weights, and an even heavier weight on success in the current season.  I found it was somewhat of an injustice that under the initial formula that Detroit was stuck at 31st.  However, even after tweaking it a bit, Detroit is only able to move up to 30th.  That 0-16 season really hurts.

So, what appears below is actually two rankings.  The first ranking is one using the secret formula that I devised and the other is a composite of the team’s rankings in the four major measures (record, competition, statistics, scoring), plus a playoff boost.  For now, I am going to include both until I determine which one best reflects the “power” of a team.

Also, I am working on a formula to determine player rankings versus competition.  We’ll see if that will work out.

FORMULATED RANKING

RANK

Team

Points

1

New England Patriots

14.8305

2

Pittsburgh Steelers

14.50723

3

Baltimore Ravens

13.8711

4

Green Bay Packers

13.75026

5

New Orleans Saints

13.64142

6

Atlanta Falcons

13.44772

7

San Diego Chargers

12.3892

8

New York Giants

12.33676

9

New York Jets

12.23704

10

Philadelphia Eagles

11.78655

11

Chicago Bears

11.67999

12

Indianapolis Colts

11.20726

13

Dallas Cowboys

11.06803

14

Tennessee Titans

10.9413

15

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

10.43857

16

Houston Texans

10.32693

17

San Francisco 49ers

10.19978

18

Minnesota Vikings

10.1433

19

Cincinnati Bengals

9.784424

20

Carolina Panthers

9.183861

21

Buffalo Bills

9.169663

22

Oakland Raiders

8.945386

23

Miami Dolphins

8.748644

24

Washington Redskins

8.708267

25

Denver Broncos

8.480375

26

Arizona Cardinals

8.455963

27

Jacksonville Jaguars

8.279993

28

Kansas City Chiefs

8.006228

29

Cleveland Browns

7.839625

30

Detroit Lions

7.330598

31

Seattle Seahawks

7.198756

32

St. Louis Rams

4.506914

COMPOSITE RANKING

Rank

Team

Points

1

New England Patriots

29.817

2

New Orleans Saints

29.775

3

Pittsburgh Steelers

29.592

4

Green Bay Packers

28.143

5

Atlanta Falcons

28.075

6

Baltimore Ravens

27.656

7

New York Giants

25.560

8

Philadelphia Eagles

24.770

9

Chicago Bears

21.631

10

Dallas Cowboys

21.105

11

New York Jets

20.811

12

San Diego Chargers

20.092

13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

18.750

14

Minnesota Vikings

18.186

15

Carolina Panthers

17.550

16

Tennessee Titans

17.540

17

Houston Texans

16.750

18

Indianapolis Colts

15.570

19

San Francisco 49ers

15.500

20

Washington Redskins

13.250

21

Cincinnati Bengals

13.047

22

Miami Dolphins

11.022

23

Buffalo Bills

10.500

24

Detroit Lions

9.750

25

Arizona Cardinals

9.271

26

Denver Broncos

8.500

27

Oakland Raiders

7.250

28

Jacksonville Jaguars

6.750

29

Cleveland Browns

6.250

30

Kansas City Chiefs

5.517

31

Seattle Seahawks

5.454

32

St. Louis Rams

2.000