2011 Uncle Popov NFL Power Rankings

Fun with numbers has now led me to do a power ranking for the NFL.  Yes, it is now entering Week 8, but it took a minute to get the numbers to flow accurately.

Just like the College Football Rankings, the NFL rankings is based on three-plus seasons worth of data.  Unlike the CFB rankings, there are a bit more weights involved, including divisional and conference weights, and an even heavier weight on success in the current season.  I found it was somewhat of an injustice that under the initial formula that Detroit was stuck at 31st.  However, even after tweaking it a bit, Detroit is only able to move up to 30th.  That 0-16 season really hurts.

So, what appears below is actually two rankings.  The first ranking is one using the secret formula that I devised and the other is a composite of the team’s rankings in the four major measures (record, competition, statistics, scoring), plus a playoff boost.  For now, I am going to include both until I determine which one best reflects the “power” of a team.

Also, I am working on a formula to determine player rankings versus competition.  We’ll see if that will work out.

FORMULATED RANKING

RANK

Team

Points

1

New England Patriots

14.8305

2

Pittsburgh Steelers

14.50723

3

Baltimore Ravens

13.8711

4

Green Bay Packers

13.75026

5

New Orleans Saints

13.64142

6

Atlanta Falcons

13.44772

7

San Diego Chargers

12.3892

8

New York Giants

12.33676

9

New York Jets

12.23704

10

Philadelphia Eagles

11.78655

11

Chicago Bears

11.67999

12

Indianapolis Colts

11.20726

13

Dallas Cowboys

11.06803

14

Tennessee Titans

10.9413

15

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

10.43857

16

Houston Texans

10.32693

17

San Francisco 49ers

10.19978

18

Minnesota Vikings

10.1433

19

Cincinnati Bengals

9.784424

20

Carolina Panthers

9.183861

21

Buffalo Bills

9.169663

22

Oakland Raiders

8.945386

23

Miami Dolphins

8.748644

24

Washington Redskins

8.708267

25

Denver Broncos

8.480375

26

Arizona Cardinals

8.455963

27

Jacksonville Jaguars

8.279993

28

Kansas City Chiefs

8.006228

29

Cleveland Browns

7.839625

30

Detroit Lions

7.330598

31

Seattle Seahawks

7.198756

32

St. Louis Rams

4.506914

COMPOSITE RANKING

Rank

Team

Points

1

New England Patriots

29.817

2

New Orleans Saints

29.775

3

Pittsburgh Steelers

29.592

4

Green Bay Packers

28.143

5

Atlanta Falcons

28.075

6

Baltimore Ravens

27.656

7

New York Giants

25.560

8

Philadelphia Eagles

24.770

9

Chicago Bears

21.631

10

Dallas Cowboys

21.105

11

New York Jets

20.811

12

San Diego Chargers

20.092

13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

18.750

14

Minnesota Vikings

18.186

15

Carolina Panthers

17.550

16

Tennessee Titans

17.540

17

Houston Texans

16.750

18

Indianapolis Colts

15.570

19

San Francisco 49ers

15.500

20

Washington Redskins

13.250

21

Cincinnati Bengals

13.047

22

Miami Dolphins

11.022

23

Buffalo Bills

10.500

24

Detroit Lions

9.750

25

Arizona Cardinals

9.271

26

Denver Broncos

8.500

27

Oakland Raiders

7.250

28

Jacksonville Jaguars

6.750

29

Cleveland Browns

6.250

30

Kansas City Chiefs

5.517

31

Seattle Seahawks

5.454

32

St. Louis Rams

2.000

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s