2011 Uncle Popov NFL Power Rankings (Week 9)
After looking at it, I was able to get it to where I like it. Remember, it is a power ranking based on three-plus seasons…so Detroit is still hampered by that 0-16 season, but they are moving up. I will still keep the 2011 rankings (for now), but I still need to figure out why San Francisco keeps ranking so high (number two).
WEEK 9!!!
POWER RANKING
|
Rank |
Team |
Points |
Last Week |
CHANGE |
|
1 |
Green Bay Packers |
14.329 |
4 |
3 |
|
2 |
Pittsburgh Steelers |
13.402 |
1 |
-1 |
|
3 |
Baltimore Ravens |
13.153 |
3 |
– |
|
4 |
New England Patriots |
13.005 |
2 |
-2 |
|
5 |
New Orleans Saints |
12.592 |
6 |
1 |
|
6 |
Atlanta Falcons |
12.590 |
5 |
-1 |
|
7 |
New York Giants |
12.375 |
7 |
– |
|
8 |
Chicago Bears |
11.094 |
11 |
3 |
|
9 |
New York Jets |
10.967 |
8 |
-1 |
|
10 |
Philadelphia Eagles |
10.814 |
9 |
-1 |
|
11 |
San Francisco 49ers |
10.645 |
17 |
6 |
|
12 |
Dallas Cowboys |
10.144 |
14 |
2 |
|
13 |
San Diego Chargers |
9.921 |
10 |
-3 |
|
14 |
Houston Texans |
9.819 |
15 |
1 |
|
15 |
Cincinnati Bengals |
9.637 |
19 |
4 |
|
16 |
Tennessee Titans |
9.606 |
12 |
-4 |
|
17 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
9.111 |
18 |
1 |
|
18 |
Minnesota Vikings |
8.987 |
16 |
-2 |
|
19 |
Buffalo Bills |
8.450 |
20 |
1 |
|
20 |
Detroit Lions |
8.225 |
29 |
9 |
|
21 |
Carolina Panthers |
7.818 |
22 |
1 |
|
22 |
Indianapolis Colts |
7.401 |
13 |
-9 |
|
23 |
Washington Redskins |
7.188 |
24 |
1 |
|
24 |
Oakland Raiders |
7.034 |
21 |
-3 |
|
25 |
Denver Broncos |
6.607 |
27 |
2 |
|
26 |
Arizona Cardinals |
6.467 |
25 |
-1 |
|
27 |
Miami Dolphins |
6.463 |
23 |
-4 |
|
28 |
Kansas City Chiefs |
6.454 |
26 |
-2 |
|
29 |
Cleveland Browns |
5.906 |
30 |
1 |
|
30 |
Jacksonville Jaguars |
5.869 |
28 |
-2 |
|
31 |
Seattle Seahawks |
5.347 |
31 |
– |
|
32 |
St. Louis Rams |
3.562 |
32 |
– |
2011 RANKING
|
Rank |
TEAM |
Points |
Last Week |
CHANGE |
|
1 |
Green Bay Packers |
14.427 |
1 |
– |
|
2 |
San Francisco 49ers |
13.420 |
2 |
– |
|
3 |
Detroit Lions |
12.087 |
3 |
– |
|
4 |
Cincinnati Bengals |
11.562 |
7 |
3 |
|
5 |
New York Giants |
11.049 |
9 |
4 |
|
6 |
Baltimore Ravens |
10.950 |
8 |
2 |
|
7 |
Buffalo Bills |
10.909 |
4 |
-3 |
|
8 |
Pittsburgh Steelers |
10.614 |
5 |
-3 |
|
9 |
New England Patriots |
10.452 |
6 |
-3 |
|
10 |
Chicago Bears |
10.403 |
13 |
3 |
|
11 |
New Orleans Saints |
10.220 |
10 |
-1 |
|
12 |
Houston Texans |
10.189 |
11 |
-1 |
|
13 |
New York Jets |
10.077 |
17 |
4 |
|
14 |
Atlanta Falcons |
9.983 |
16 |
2 |
|
15 |
Dallas Cowboys |
9.127 |
20 |
5 |
|
16 |
San Diego Chargers |
8.926 |
18 |
2 |
|
17 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
8.859 |
12 |
-5 |
|
18 |
Oakland Raiders |
8.724 |
15 |
-3 |
|
19 |
Kansas City Chiefs |
8.564 |
14 |
-5 |
|
20 |
Tennessee Titans |
8.479 |
19 |
-1 |
|
21 |
Philadelphia Eagles |
7.634 |
21 |
– |
|
22 |
Denver Broncos |
7.547 |
26 |
4 |
|
23 |
Cleveland Browns |
7.508 |
22 |
-1 |
|
24 |
Washington Redskins |
7.210 |
23 |
-1 |
|
25 |
Seattle Seahawks |
6.628 |
25 |
– |
|
26 |
Jacksonville Jaguars |
6.619 |
27 |
1 |
|
27 |
Minnesota Vikings |
6.497 |
28 |
1 |
|
28 |
Carolina Panthers |
6.001 |
29 |
1 |
|
29 |
Arizona Cardinals |
5.746 |
30 |
1 |
|
30 |
Miami Dolphins |
4.708 |
32 |
2 |
|
31 |
St. Louis Rams |
4.560 |
24 |
-7 |
|
32 |
Indianapolis Colts |
3.611 |
31 |
-1 |
2011 Uncle Popov NFL Power Rankings (Week 8)
Not much in the way of altering the formula needed as the delay in releasing it got it to where I wanted it. We do have a new number one in the polls — Pittsburgh. Again, I will include both rankings (formula-based and ranking-composite) until I decide which one best reflects reality.
FORMULATED RANKING
|
Rank |
TEAM |
Points |
Last Week |
CHANGE |
|
1 |
Pittsburgh Steelers |
14.786 |
2 |
1 |
|
2 |
New England Patriots |
14.369 |
1 |
-1 |
|
3 |
Baltimore Ravens |
14.129 |
3 |
– |
|
4 |
Green Bay Packers |
13.842 |
4 |
– |
|
5 |
Atlanta Falcons |
13.401 |
6 |
1 |
|
6 |
New Orleans Saints |
13.088 |
5 |
-1 |
|
7 |
New York Giants |
12.586 |
8 |
1 |
|
8 |
New York Jets |
12.186 |
9 |
1 |
|
9 |
Philadelphia Eagles |
12.169 |
10 |
1 |
|
10 |
San Diego Chargers |
11.970 |
7 |
-3 |
|
11 |
Chicago Bears |
11.780 |
11 |
– |
|
12 |
Tennessee Titans |
11.273 |
14 |
2 |
|
13 |
Indianapolis Colts |
11.089 |
12 |
-1 |
|
14 |
Dallas Cowboys |
10.751 |
13 |
-1 |
|
15 |
Houston Texans |
10.592 |
16 |
1 |
|
16 |
Minnesota Vikings |
10.573 |
18 |
2 |
|
17 |
San Francisco 49ers |
10.487 |
17 |
– |
|
18 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
10.352 |
15 |
-3 |
|
19 |
Cincinnati Bengals |
9.999 |
19 |
– |
|
20 |
Buffalo Bills |
9.402 |
21 |
1 |
|
21 |
Oakland Raiders |
8.940 |
22 |
1 |
|
22 |
Carolina Panthers |
8.889 |
20 |
-2 |
|
23 |
Miami Dolphins |
8.611 |
23 |
– |
|
24 |
Washington Redskins |
8.444 |
24 |
– |
|
25 |
Arizona Cardinals |
8.407 |
26 |
1 |
|
26 |
Kansas City Chiefs |
8.367 |
28 |
2 |
|
27 |
Denver Broncos |
8.214 |
25 |
-2 |
|
28 |
Jacksonville Jaguars |
8.132 |
27 |
-1 |
|
29 |
Detroit Lions |
7.578 |
30 |
1 |
|
30 |
Cleveland Browns |
7.568 |
29 |
-1 |
|
31 |
Seattle Seahawks |
7.061 |
31 |
– |
|
32 |
St. Louis Rams |
5.069 |
32 |
– |
COMPOSITE RANKING
|
Rank |
TEAM |
Points |
Last Week |
CHANGE |
|
1 |
Pittsburgh Steelers |
30.092 |
3 |
2 |
|
2 |
New England Patriots |
29.317 |
1 |
-1 |
|
3 |
Green Bay Packers |
28.893 |
4 |
1 |
|
4 |
New Orleans Saints |
28.275 |
2 |
-2 |
|
5 |
Baltimore Ravens |
28.156 |
6 |
1 |
|
6 |
Atlanta Falcons |
28.075 |
5 |
-1 |
|
7 |
New York Giants |
26.810 |
7 |
– |
|
8 |
Philadelphia Eagles |
26.020 |
8 |
– |
|
9 |
Chicago Bears |
21.631 |
9 |
– |
|
10 |
New York Jets |
20.561 |
11 |
1 |
|
11 |
Dallas Cowboys |
20.105 |
10 |
-1 |
|
12 |
Minnesota Vikings |
19.686 |
14 |
2 |
|
13 |
San Diego Chargers |
19.092 |
12 |
-1 |
|
14 |
Tennessee Titans |
18.790 |
16 |
2 |
|
15 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
17.500 |
13 |
-2 |
|
16 |
Houston Texans |
17.000 |
17 |
1 |
|
17 |
Carolina Panthers |
16.800 |
15 |
-2 |
|
18 |
Indianapolis Colts |
15.820 |
18 |
– |
|
19 |
San Francisco 49ers |
15.750 |
19 |
– |
|
20 |
Cincinnati Bengals |
13.797 |
21 |
1 |
|
21 |
Washington Redskins |
12.750 |
20 |
-1 |
|
22 |
Buffalo Bills |
11.000 |
23 |
1 |
|
23 |
Miami Dolphins |
10.772 |
22 |
-1 |
|
24 |
Detroit Lions |
9.750 |
24 |
– |
|
25 |
Arizona Cardinals |
9.271 |
25 |
– |
|
26 |
Oakland Raiders |
7.500 |
27 |
1 |
|
27 |
Denver Broncos |
7.250 |
26 |
-1 |
|
28 |
Kansas City Chiefs |
6.017 |
30 |
2 |
|
29 |
Jacksonville Jaguars |
6.000 |
28 |
-1 |
|
30 |
Cleveland Browns |
5.750 |
29 |
-1 |
|
31 |
Seattle Seahawks |
4.954 |
31 |
– |
|
32 |
St. Louis Rams |
2.250 |
32 |
– |
2011 Uncle Popov NFL Power Rankings
Fun with numbers has now led me to do a power ranking for the NFL. Yes, it is now entering Week 8, but it took a minute to get the numbers to flow accurately.
Just like the College Football Rankings, the NFL rankings is based on three-plus seasons worth of data. Unlike the CFB rankings, there are a bit more weights involved, including divisional and conference weights, and an even heavier weight on success in the current season. I found it was somewhat of an injustice that under the initial formula that Detroit was stuck at 31st. However, even after tweaking it a bit, Detroit is only able to move up to 30th. That 0-16 season really hurts.
So, what appears below is actually two rankings. The first ranking is one using the secret formula that I devised and the other is a composite of the team’s rankings in the four major measures (record, competition, statistics, scoring), plus a playoff boost. For now, I am going to include both until I determine which one best reflects the “power” of a team.
Also, I am working on a formula to determine player rankings versus competition. We’ll see if that will work out.
FORMULATED RANKING
|
RANK |
Team |
Points |
|
1 |
New England Patriots |
14.8305 |
|
2 |
Pittsburgh Steelers |
14.50723 |
|
3 |
Baltimore Ravens |
13.8711 |
|
4 |
Green Bay Packers |
13.75026 |
|
5 |
New Orleans Saints |
13.64142 |
|
6 |
Atlanta Falcons |
13.44772 |
|
7 |
San Diego Chargers |
12.3892 |
|
8 |
New York Giants |
12.33676 |
|
9 |
New York Jets |
12.23704 |
|
10 |
Philadelphia Eagles |
11.78655 |
|
11 |
Chicago Bears |
11.67999 |
|
12 |
Indianapolis Colts |
11.20726 |
|
13 |
Dallas Cowboys |
11.06803 |
|
14 |
Tennessee Titans |
10.9413 |
|
15 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
10.43857 |
|
16 |
Houston Texans |
10.32693 |
|
17 |
San Francisco 49ers |
10.19978 |
|
18 |
Minnesota Vikings |
10.1433 |
|
19 |
Cincinnati Bengals |
9.784424 |
|
20 |
Carolina Panthers |
9.183861 |
|
21 |
Buffalo Bills |
9.169663 |
|
22 |
Oakland Raiders |
8.945386 |
|
23 |
Miami Dolphins |
8.748644 |
|
24 |
Washington Redskins |
8.708267 |
|
25 |
Denver Broncos |
8.480375 |
|
26 |
Arizona Cardinals |
8.455963 |
|
27 |
Jacksonville Jaguars |
8.279993 |
|
28 |
Kansas City Chiefs |
8.006228 |
|
29 |
Cleveland Browns |
7.839625 |
|
30 |
Detroit Lions |
7.330598 |
|
31 |
Seattle Seahawks |
7.198756 |
|
32 |
St. Louis Rams |
4.506914 |
COMPOSITE RANKING
|
Rank |
Team |
Points |
|
1 |
New England Patriots |
29.817 |
|
2 |
New Orleans Saints |
29.775 |
|
3 |
Pittsburgh Steelers |
29.592 |
|
4 |
Green Bay Packers |
28.143 |
|
5 |
Atlanta Falcons |
28.075 |
|
6 |
Baltimore Ravens |
27.656 |
|
7 |
New York Giants |
25.560 |
|
8 |
Philadelphia Eagles |
24.770 |
|
9 |
Chicago Bears |
21.631 |
|
10 |
Dallas Cowboys |
21.105 |
|
11 |
New York Jets |
20.811 |
|
12 |
San Diego Chargers |
20.092 |
|
13 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
18.750 |
|
14 |
Minnesota Vikings |
18.186 |
|
15 |
Carolina Panthers |
17.550 |
|
16 |
Tennessee Titans |
17.540 |
|
17 |
Houston Texans |
16.750 |
|
18 |
Indianapolis Colts |
15.570 |
|
19 |
San Francisco 49ers |
15.500 |
|
20 |
Washington Redskins |
13.250 |
|
21 |
Cincinnati Bengals |
13.047 |
|
22 |
Miami Dolphins |
11.022 |
|
23 |
Buffalo Bills |
10.500 |
|
24 |
Detroit Lions |
9.750 |
|
25 |
Arizona Cardinals |
9.271 |
|
26 |
Denver Broncos |
8.500 |
|
27 |
Oakland Raiders |
7.250 |
|
28 |
Jacksonville Jaguars |
6.750 |
|
29 |
Cleveland Browns |
6.250 |
|
30 |
Kansas City Chiefs |
5.517 |
|
31 |
Seattle Seahawks |
5.454 |
|
32 |
St. Louis Rams |
2.000 |
